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Labour are on course for a landslide victory on Thursday with a majority of 212 seats according to the final YouGov poll projection of the campaign.
This will give Sir Keir Starmer the biggest majority for any single party since 1832 in a vote which YouGov’s last MRP suggests will break a series of electoral records.
Some of the biggest names in Conservative politics would lose their seats under this projection, including 16 of the 26 cabinet ministers still standing, including Chancellor Jeremy Hunt.
Election latest: The Sun backs Labour for vote
The list of likely losers also includes former Tory leaders like Sir Iain Duncan Smith and potential future leadership contenders like Miriam Cates.
According to YouGov, Labour are set to win 431 seats, the highest number in the party’s history and passing the previous peak of 419 reached by Tony Blair in 1997 – making Sir Keir the most successful Labour leader in history in electoral terms.
This is more than double the 202 seats achieved by Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour in 2019.
Meanwhile, the Tories are on course for 102 seats, substantially down on the 165 achieved in 1997 under Sir John Major, losing more than two thirds of the 365 elected under Boris Johnson in 2019.
Sir Ed Davey’s Liberal Democrats are projected to get 72 seats, higher than their previous peak of 62 in 2005 under Charles Kennedy.
Nigel Farage’s Reform UK is set for three seats, while the Greens are on two seats. The SNP are set to drop from 48 seats in 2019 to 18 seats, according to YouGov.
This is YouGov’s final call of the election, and the projected majority is a central estimate which they believe could range from 132 to 282.
Under the pollster’s margin of error, The Labour Party’s seats could range from 391 to 466, and the Tories from 78 to 129.
The Lib Dems could range from 57 to 87, while the SNP range from eight to 34, Reform from zero to 14, Greens from one to four,…
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